Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | YALE -1800 HARV +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +29 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -17.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -14.5 (+14.5) | 143.0 (-4.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -15.8 (+13.2) | 142.2 (-3.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -14.7 (+14.3) | 143.3 (-4.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -14.3 (+14.7) | 144.0 (-5.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | YALE 76 – 75 HARV |
| Feb 1, 2026 | HARV 67 – 65 YALE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | HARV 74 – 69 YALE |
| Mar 3, 2024 | YALE 80 – 60 HARV |
| Jan 27, 2024 | YALE 78 – 65 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-8 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 7-7 |
| Home | 11-0 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.7 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#78) | -6.2 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#111) | -1.08 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#108) | -1.30 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#67) | 0.458 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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