Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | HARV +450 YALE -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +5 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -12.2 (+17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -11.6 (+16.6) | 144.2 (-1.2) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -10.6 (+15.6) | 145.0 (-2.0) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -10.0 (+15.0) | 146.1 (-3.1) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -11.4 (+16.4) | 144.8 (-1.8) | 19% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | YALE 76 – 75 HARV |
| Feb 1, 2026 | HARV 67 – 65 YALE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | YALE 84 – 55 HARV |
| Mar 3, 2024 | YALE 80 – 60 HARV |
| Jan 27, 2024 | YALE 78 – 65 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 13-1 |
| Home | 7-5 | 11-0 |
| Away | 5-10 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 80.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#269) | 9.1 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#244) | 1.17 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#252) | 1.42 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#218) | 0.586 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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