Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | YALE -850 HARV +575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +2 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -13.7 (-15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -12.9 (-14.9) | 141.4 (-9.4) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -13.8 (-15.8) | 139.5 (-7.5) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -13.5 (-15.5) | 142.6 (-10.6) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -13.1 (-15.1) | 143.3 (-11.3) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | YALE 76 – 75 HARV |
| Mar 1, 2025 | HARV 74 – 69 YALE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | YALE 84 – 55 HARV |
| Mar 3, 2024 | YALE 80 – 60 HARV |
| Jan 27, 2024 | YALE 78 – 65 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-7 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 10-4 |
| Home | 10-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 9-3 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#63) | -1.2 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#58) | -0.56 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#69) | -0.73 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#31) | 0.481 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 41.9% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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