Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | DUKE -333 CLEM +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUKE +1 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | DUKE -6.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -5.6 (-4.6) | 149.4 (-6.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -6.0 (-5.0) | 144.4 (-1.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -6.2 (-5.2) | 148.9 (-5.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -5.5 (-4.5) | 148.7 (-5.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | DUKE 73 – 61 CLEM |
| Feb 14, 2026 | DUKE 67 – 54 CLEM |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CLEM 77 – 71 DUKE |
| Jan 14, 2023 | CLEM 72 – 64 DUKE |
| Feb 11, 2022 | DUKE 82 – 64 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUKE | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 15-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 15.5 (#14) | 12.5 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#49) | 2.42 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#35) | 3.03 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#71) | 0.630 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUKE | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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