Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | DUKE -625 CLEM +455 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUKE +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | DUKE -14.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -14.3 (-2.3) | 133.3 (+0.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -10.8 (+1.2) | 134.6 (-0.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -13.0 (-1.0) | 133.6 (+0.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -14.3 (-2.3) | 133.9 (+0.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | DUKE 67 – 54 CLEM |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CLEM 77 – 71 DUKE |
| Jan 27, 2024 | DUKE 72 – 71 CLEM |
| Jan 14, 2023 | CLEM 72 – 64 DUKE |
| Feb 11, 2022 | DUKE 82 – 64 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUKE | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-3 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-0 | 13-3 |
| Away | 10-1 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 10-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 28.8 (#2) | 14.4 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.08 (#3) | 2.60 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.75 (#1) | 3.08 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.678 (#2) | 0.590 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUKE | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.63 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 37.8% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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