Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | CLEM +250 DUKE -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUKE +18 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | DUKE -6.6 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -3.6 (-14.4) | 144.2 (+1.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -3.9 (-14.1) | 141.8 (+4.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -4.5 (-13.5) | 143.4 (+2.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -4.5 (-13.5) | 143.7 (+2.3) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | DUKE 73 – 61 CLEM |
| Feb 14, 2026 | DUKE 67 – 54 CLEM |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CLEM 77 – 71 DUKE |
| Jan 27, 2024 | DUKE 72 – 71 CLEM |
| Jan 14, 2023 | CLEM 72 – 64 DUKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 32-7 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 16-4 |
| Home | 11-5 | 15-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#67) | 17.7 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#114) | 2.81 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#99) | 4.36 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#124) | 0.619 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 11.5% |
Game Analysis
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