Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | CLEM +230 DUKE -280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +6 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | DUKE -9.2 (+15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -5.6 (+11.6) | 138.7 (+9.3) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -3.9 (+9.9) | 135.0 (+13.0) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -4.7 (+10.7) | 139.0 (+9.0) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -5.3 (+11.3) | 137.8 (+10.2) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | DUKE 73 – 61 CLEM |
| Feb 14, 2026 | DUKE 67 – 54 CLEM |
| Jan 27, 2024 | DUKE 72 – 71 CLEM |
| Jan 14, 2023 | CLEM 72 – 64 DUKE |
| Feb 11, 2022 | DUKE 82 – 64 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 35-4 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 19-1 |
| Home | 15-2 | 17-0 |
| Away | 9-3 | 10-1 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 8-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 83.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 62.8 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#36) | 25.8 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#38) | 4.24 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.99 (#37) | 5.51 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#32) | 0.658 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 43.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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