You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Clemson Tigers
72 64
FINAL Conference
Duke Blue Devils
Atlantic Coast Conference · Littlejohn Coliseum · January 14, 2023
Betting Lines
O/U 140.5 Under
Money CLEM +105 / DUKE -125
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLEM win
Actual CLEM +8 136 Won
Massey CLEM -0.0 (+8.0)
Massey Totals 139.9 (-3.9)
Bradley-Terry 56%
Weighted B-T 55%
Efficiency Plus ML CLEM -0.1 (+7.9) 138.9 (-2.9) 54%
Baseline Tuned ML CLEM -1.7 (+6.3) 142.1 (-6.1) 60%
Baseline ML CLEM -1.6 (+6.4) 142.2 (-6.2) 61%
Baseline Plus ML CLEM -1.4 (+6.6) 141.5 (-5.5) 65%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 14, 2026 DUKE 7361 CLEM
Feb 14, 2026 DUKE 6754 CLEM
Feb 8, 2025 CLEM 7771 DUKE
Jan 27, 2024 DUKE 7271 CLEM
Feb 11, 2022 DUKE 8264 CLEM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CLEM DUKE
Overall 23-11 27-9
Conference 14-6 14-6
Home 15-2 16-0
Away 5-6 4-6
Neutral 3-3 7-3
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 74.7 72.0
Avg Pts Against 67.9 63.6
Massey 7.4 (#73) 11.4 (#31)
Bradley-Terry 2.07 (#33) 2.52 (#20)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.50 (#40) 3.10 (#23)
RPI 0.586 (#46) 0.630 (#15)
Shooting & Four Factors CLEM DUKE
FG% 47.2% 43.4%
3PT% 38.9% 32.0%
REB / G 34.7 39.8
OREB / G 7.2 13.6
AST / TO 1.39 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.6% 49.2%
TOV% 16.0% 19.1%
ORB% 23.0% 39.0%
FT Rate 26.4% 24.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.6% 46.3%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 18.8%
DRB% 75.5% 74.3%
Opp FT Rate 23.5% 18.0%

Game Analysis

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