Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | DUKE -1100 CLEM +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUKE +13 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | DUKE -14.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -14.5 (-1.5) | 132.2 (-11.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -13.2 (-0.2) | 132.9 (-11.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -13.8 (-0.8) | 130.9 (-9.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -12.4 (+0.6) | 131.5 (-10.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | DUKE 73 – 61 CLEM |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CLEM 77 – 71 DUKE |
| Jan 27, 2024 | DUKE 72 – 71 CLEM |
| Jan 14, 2023 | CLEM 72 – 64 DUKE |
| Feb 11, 2022 | DUKE 82 – 64 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUKE | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-3 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-0 | 13-3 |
| Away | 10-1 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 10-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 26.7 (#2) | 15.0 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.62 (#4) | 2.76 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.24 (#3) | 3.43 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.671 (#3) | 0.606 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUKE | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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