Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY -110 BUCK +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +10 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -0.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -0.7 (-9.3) | 128.5 (-6.5) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -1.1 (-8.9) | 129.5 (-7.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -0.6 (-9.4) | 127.2 (-5.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -0.8 (-9.2) | 128.1 (-6.1) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BUCK 65 – 55 ARMY |
| Feb 25, 2026 | BUCK 75 – 73 ARMY |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ARMY 87 – 84 BUCK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BUCK 84 – 53 ARMY |
| Feb 8, 2025 | ARMY 116 – 110 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-11 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.9 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#321) | -6.5 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.57 (#348) | -1.30 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.96 (#343) | -1.49 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.370 (#355) | 0.440 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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