Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | ARMY +105 BUCK -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +6 | 226 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -0.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+75.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -0.6 (+5.4) | 147.4 (+78.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -0.2 (+5.8) | 146.7 (+79.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -0.3 (+5.7) | 146.0 (+80.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -0.2 (+5.8) | 147.1 (+78.9) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BUCK 65 – 55 ARMY |
| Feb 25, 2026 | BUCK 75 – 73 ARMY |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ARMY 87 – 84 BUCK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BUCK 84 – 53 ARMY |
| Feb 25, 2024 | BUCK 54 – 41 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#288) | -4.6 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#240) | -0.90 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#257) | -1.00 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#216) | 0.463 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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