Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ARMY -162 BUCK +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +2 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -3.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -2.2 (-4.2) | 140.4 (+7.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -2.4 (-4.4) | 138.2 (+9.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -2.4 (-4.4) | 139.3 (+8.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -2.7 (-4.7) | 139.9 (+8.1) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BUCK 65 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ARMY 87 – 84 BUCK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BUCK 84 – 53 ARMY |
| Feb 8, 2025 | ARMY 116 – 110 BUCK |
| Feb 25, 2024 | BUCK 54 – 41 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-10 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -12.6 (#334) | -13.0 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#327) | -2.08 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.63 (#335) | -2.67 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#310) | 0.422 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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