Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
Bucknell Bison
54 41
FINAL Conference
Army Black Knights
Patriot League · Sojka Pavilion · February 25, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread BUCK -4.5 Home covered
O/U 123.5 Under
Money BUCK -188 / ARMY +200
Model Predictions
Spread Total BUCK win
Actual BUCK +13 95 Won
Massey BUCK -6.5 (+6.5)
Massey Totals 123.2 (-28.2)
Bradley-Terry 78%
Weighted B-T 81%
Efficiency Plus ML BUCK -2.8 (+10.2) 126.7 (-31.7) 63%
Baseline Tuned ML BUCK -4.4 (+8.6) 127.7 (-32.7) 62%
Baseline ML BUCK -4.6 (+8.4) 125.2 (-30.2) 62%
Baseline Plus ML BUCK -4.3 (+8.7) 127.5 (-32.5) 61%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 4, 2026 BUCK 6555 ARMY
Feb 25, 2026 BUCK 7573 ARMY
Jan 22, 2026 ARMY 8784 BUCK
Feb 23, 2025 BUCK 8453 ARMY
Feb 8, 2025 ARMY 116110 BUCK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BUCK ARMY
Overall 14-19 10-22
Conference 10-8 6-12
Home 6-8 6-11
Away 8-11 4-10
Neutral 0-0 0-1
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 65.2 59.9
Avg Pts Against 67.2 65.7
Massey -7.3 (#290) -10.4 (#326)
Bradley-Terry -1.65 (#316) -2.30 (#343)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.92 (#313) -2.70 (#339)
RPI 0.448 (#279) 0.399 (#339)
Shooting & Four Factors BUCK ARMY
FG% 42.7% 39.9%
3PT% 34.4% 32.1%
REB / G 31.8 34.0
OREB / G 8.0 9.7
AST / TO 0.97 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 47.2%
TOV% 19.3% 19.2%
ORB% 25.0% 27.3%
FT Rate 21.5% 15.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.2% 49.1%
Opp TOV% 16.1% 16.6%
DRB% 71.4% 74.7%
Opp FT Rate 22.7% 23.1%

Game Analysis

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