Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -188 ARMY +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +13 | 95 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -6.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.2 (-28.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -4.3 (+8.7) | 127.5 (-32.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -2.8 (+10.2) | 126.7 (-31.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -4.4 (+8.6) | 127.7 (-32.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -4.6 (+8.4) | 125.2 (-30.2) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BUCK 65 – 55 ARMY |
| Feb 25, 2026 | BUCK 75 – 73 ARMY |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ARMY 87 – 84 BUCK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BUCK 84 – 53 ARMY |
| Feb 8, 2025 | ARMY 116 – 110 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-8 | 6-11 |
| Away | 8-11 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 59.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#290) | -10.4 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#316) | -2.30 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#313) | -2.70 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#279) | 0.399 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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