Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | BUCK -205 ARMY +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +3 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | BUCK -3.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -2.5 (-5.5) | 146.0 (+25.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -1.4 (-4.4) | 141.1 (+29.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -2.1 (-5.1) | 141.2 (+29.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -1.5 (-4.5) | 141.1 (+29.9) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BUCK 65 – 55 ARMY |
| Feb 25, 2026 | BUCK 75 – 73 ARMY |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BUCK 84 – 53 ARMY |
| Feb 8, 2025 | ARMY 116 – 110 BUCK |
| Feb 25, 2024 | BUCK 54 – 41 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-8 | 6-10 |
| Away | 4-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -11.7 (#327) | -12.0 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#315) | -2.09 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#312) | -2.89 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#301) | 0.406 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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