Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -300 ARMY +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +31 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -6.5 (+24.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -5.3 (+25.7) | 151.1 (-14.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -5.8 (+25.2) | 149.3 (-12.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -5.8 (+25.2) | 148.2 (-11.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -5.3 (+25.7) | 150.5 (-13.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BUCK 65 – 55 ARMY |
| Feb 25, 2026 | BUCK 75 – 73 ARMY |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ARMY 87 – 84 BUCK |
| Feb 8, 2025 | ARMY 116 – 110 BUCK |
| Feb 25, 2024 | BUCK 54 – 41 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#230) | -7.1 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#241) | -0.67 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#238) | -1.12 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#217) | 0.494 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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