Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -115 ARMY -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +10 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -2.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-28.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -2.4 (+7.6) | 146.4 (-26.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -2.3 (+7.7) | 143.8 (-23.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -2.4 (+7.6) | 145.3 (-25.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -1.9 (+8.1) | 145.7 (-25.7) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | BUCK 75 – 73 ARMY |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ARMY 87 – 84 BUCK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BUCK 84 – 53 ARMY |
| Feb 8, 2025 | ARMY 116 – 110 BUCK |
| Feb 25, 2024 | BUCK 54 – 41 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-8 | 6-10 |
| Away | 4-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -12.7 (#335) | -12.6 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#335) | -2.08 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.62 (#337) | -2.77 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#313) | 0.430 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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