Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -1000 NAU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +15 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -16.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -13.2 (+1.8) | 144.8 (+10.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -11.0 (+4.0) | 142.6 (+12.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -12.4 (+2.6) | 142.0 (+13.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -11.5 (+3.5) | 145.7 (+9.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | EWU 88 – 57 NAU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | NAU 92 – 86 EWU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | NAU 66 – 53 EWU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NAU 87 – 67 EWU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | NAU 70 – 61 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-1 | 7-5 |
| Away | 10-9 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#124) | -9.3 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#100) | -0.11 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#115) | -0.62 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#99) | 0.499 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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