And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
← All models

Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
92–33 on winners spread MAE 8.5 125 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oakland @ Northern Kentucky -3.5 140.0 43% 78–87 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Wright State +3.1 143.0 63% 59–90 ✓
Creighton @ Seton Hall +5.1 139.0 73% 55–74 ✓
Princeton @ Cornell +0.3 156.2 49% 83–88 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Columbia -8.2 148.5 20% 81–66 ✓
Harvard @ Brown +2.7 140.6 62% 65–50 ✗
Milwaukee @ Purdue Fort Wayne +5.0 140.4 73% 60–70 ✓
Green Bay @ Cleveland State +10.3 133.5 85% 69–85 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Saint Peter's +5.6 141.2 74% 74–83 ✓
Rider @ Siena +5.2 137.6 69% 74–60 ✗
Iona @ Canisius -10.5 146.3 18% 70–62 ✓
Manhattan @ Niagara +4.1 135.3 68% 74–80 ✓
Fairfield @ Monmouth +5.1 137.7 73% 56–59 ✓
Toledo @ Ball State -9.6 153.9 21% 83–93 ✗
San Diego State @ Colorado State +2.2 130.6 70% 57–58 ✓
Nevada @ Fresno State +8.1 132.4 83% 56–73 ✓
UConn @ Villanova +6.7 130.4 77% 74–85 ✓
Illinois @ Indiana -0.3 138.3 40% 74–57 ✓
St. John's @ Butler -2.5 142.1 43% 75–72 ✓
Wake Forest @ Florida State +2.4 146.6 65% 68–60 ✗
Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State +2.5 131.4 65% 55–64 ✓
Robert Morris @ IU Indianapolis -9.0 120.5 14% 66–49 ✓
Mercer @ Chattanooga +11.4 135.0 85% 68–77 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Furman +11.4 131.8 83% 58–56 ✗
Auburn @ Georgia -13.2 154.9 13% 74–72 ✓
Tennessee @ South Carolina -8.1 137.2 25% 81–57 ✓
Holy Cross @ Army +9.5 138.7 81% 69–65 ✗
Long Island University @ Wagner +11.1 145.2 84% 64–79 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Central Connecticut +1.3 135.8 53% 82–91 ✓
Vermont @ UMass Lowell -7.0 136.9 22% 78–67 ✓
Fordham @ Saint Joseph's +3.9 140.7 72% 69–72 ✓
Samford @ The Citadel -0.2 156.0 48% 93–107 ✗
Northwestern @ Nebraska -4.9 150.6 25% 87–63 ✓
Texas Tech @ West Virginia -3.9 133.1 42% 60–53 ✓
Iowa State @ Texas +8.5 121.6 77% 41–63 ✓
DePaul @ Xavier +10.5 142.3 84% 69–65 ✗
Bucknell @ Lafayette +3.9 142.7 73% 72–74 ✓
Tulsa @ Temple +5.3 136.3 70% 58–67 ✓
East Carolina @ Tulane +5.9 144.9 75% 66–86 ✓
Boston University @ Lehigh -4.5 137.2 32% 80–74 ✓
Merrimack @ Saint Francis +2.1 128.6 43% 65–64 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ Gardner-Webb +9.9 136.0 81% 62–69 ✓
Louisville @ Syracuse +6.2 149.7 72% 69–92 ✓
Clemson @ Georgia Tech -4.0 139.9 39% 64–69 ✗
Maine @ Binghamton +10.0 133.4 83% 60–69 ✓
Youngstown State @ UIC +0.1 143.9 44% 66–64 ✗
South Alabama @ Georgia State -1.0 139.5 52% 62–69 ✗
Bradley @ Evansville -9.9 127.6 18% 76–41 ✓
Massachusetts @ Rhode Island +5.9 139.1 69% 78–67 ✗
George Mason @ La Salle -5.7 139.9 34% 78–83 ✗
Dayton @ Saint Louis +4.3 133.4 73% 61–72 ✓
Davidson @ George Washington -9.6 137.2 18% 78–73 ✓
Denver @ North Dakota State +9.5 142.5 84% 65–73 ✓
Omaha @ North Dakota +3.8 152.3 72% 85–92 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Wofford +6.6 140.7 76% 60–62 ✓
James Madison @ Hofstra +6.7 152.9 75% 78–85 ✓
Towson @ Northeastern -8.2 126.7 28% 53–58 ✗
Western Michigan @ Ohio +19.0 141.4 91% 64–77 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Kent State +10.5 136.8 84% 71–90 ✓
Michigan @ Purdue +11.5 149.8 86% 76–82 ✓
UTEP @ Rice +1.6 143.9 50% 72–70 ✗
Utah Tech @ Stephen F. Austin +12.0 142.1 87% 52–81 ✓
Utah Valley @ Sam Houston +1.3 133.0 59% 57–54 ✗
Notre Dame @ NC State +0.2 141.3 50% 69–57 ✗
UL Monroe @ Little Rock -0.1 140.5 51% 75–72 ✓
Alabama State @ Grambling +3.3 141.5 65% 80–72 ✗
Ole Miss @ Florida +7.5 132.5 80% 57–62 ✓
Baylor @ Kansas +1.9 146.9 64% 59–83 ✓
Michigan State @ Rutgers -2.5 130.5 47% 63–84 ✗
Coppin State @ North Carolina Central +3.1 147.4 64% 68–69 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Howard +5.3 140.9 69% 64–72 ✓
Colgate @ American University -11.2 136.1 13% 86–68 ✓
Washington State @ California -7.2 129.5 24% 68–64 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Santa Barbara +7.5 140.8 79% 48–84 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Bethune-Cookman +0.0 139.0 41% 67–68 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ UAB +13.1 144.5 86% 75–97 ✓
Southern Miss @ Florida Atlantic +15.6 137.2 88% 57–84 ✓
Marshall @ Charlotte +2.6 147.8 61% 64–88 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona -4.2 150.3 37% 74–71 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Abilene Christian +12.3 155.9 87% 66–83 ✓
Sacred Heart @ St. Francis Brooklyn +2.2 143.4 63% 66–62 ✗
Bryant @ Mount St. Mary's +0.5 143.8 50% 62–61 ✗
Campbell @ South Carolina Upstate -0.1 138.5 45% 80–71 ✓
UAlbany @ Hartford +0.4 133.4 49% 71–52 ✗
Troy @ Georgia Southern -0.1 131.7 47% 61–52 ✓
Duquesne @ VCU +11.4 130.8 85% 62–71 ✓
Charleston @ Elon -2.9 148.3 39% 66–64 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ William & Mary -5.4 139.5 23% 92–70 ✓
Missouri @ Texas A&M +9.2 136.8 79% 70–66 ✗
Stetson @ Central Arkansas -2.5 150.4 47% 75–79 ✗
Austin Peay @ Morehead State +10.5 133.6 82% 52–77 ✓
Tennessee State @ UT Martin +3.7 137.7 65% 69–61 ✗
Texas Southern @ Florida A&M -5.4 132.6 23% 67–55 ✓
North Florida @ North Alabama +2.5 138.9 55% 71–58 ✗
Buffalo @ Central Michigan -10.8 148.5 17% 74–54 ✓
USC @ Arizona +11.1 148.2 85% 63–72 ✓
Jackson State @ Mississippi Valley State -8.9 132.9 16% 69–65 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State +10.5 141.3 87% 56–63 ✓
Navy @ Loyola Maryland -3.1 126.5 38% 56–55 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Incarnate Word -5.6 144.6 32% 70–78 ✗
Northwestern State @ McNeese +5.4 156.4 70% 84–93 ✓
Presbyterian @ Radford -0.1 128.0 43% 78–70 ✓
Miami @ Virginia +2.2 123.9 58% 58–71 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Lipscomb +0.3 156.8 49% 77–68 ✗
Louisiana @ Arkansas State +1.1 137.9 58% 58–67 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green +7.6 149.6 79% 65–87 ✓
Winthrop @ Hampton -7.4 141.3 20% 69–57 ✓
Longwood @ Charleston Southern -11.3 141.2 14% 69–67 ✓
Jacksonville @ Jacksonville State +8.2 127.8 75% 58–64 ✓
Duke @ North Carolina -1.4 154.6 54% 87–67 ✓
Penn State @ Wisconsin +8.4 130.9 81% 49–51 ✓
LSU @ Vanderbilt -5.2 132.2 40% 66–75 ✗
SMU @ Wichita State +2.4 137.7 66% 57–72 ✓
Oregon State @ Colorado +10.5 139.5 85% 63–86 ✓
UTSA @ North Texas +17.6 120.4 90% 45–69 ✓
Seattle U @ New Mexico State +6.0 141.4 75% 64–79 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Cornell +2.8 153.4 59% 73–68 ✗
Dartmouth @ Brown +3.8 135.6 67% 60–62 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Texas State +2.1 133.2 64% 64–69 ✓
App State @ UT Arlington -1.1 130.9 42% 70–61 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Drake +7.7 146.4 75% 74–69 ✗
UNLV @ Utah State +10.0 139.6 83% 75–90 ✓
San José State @ Boise State +19.3 129.8 91% 60–76 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Southern +12.1 134.1 86% 64–73 ✓
Alcorn State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -6.7 136.3 21% 70–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.