Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +2 | 100 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -8.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.0 (-28.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -6.6 (-4.6) | 131.4 (-31.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -8.4 (-6.4) | 130.9 (-30.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -7.3 (-5.3) | 134.2 (-34.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -6.6 (-4.6) | 134.2 (-34.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | WIS 98 – 71 PSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PSU 86 – 75 WIS |
| Jan 17, 2024 | PSU 87 – 83 WIS |
| Feb 9, 2023 | WIS 79 – 74 PSU |
| Jan 18, 2023 | WIS 63 – 60 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 7-13 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-2 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#32) | 6.3 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.48 (#6) | 1.35 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.91 (#14) | 1.65 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.651 (#5) | 0.554 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 12.3% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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