Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | PSU +220 WIS -270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +27 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -5.1 (-21.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -5.3 (-21.7) | 154.5 (+14.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -4.1 (-22.9) | 155.3 (+13.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -4.8 (-22.2) | 152.4 (+16.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -4.2 (-22.8) | 153.6 (+15.4) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2025 | PSU 86 – 75 WIS |
| Jan 17, 2024 | PSU 87 – 83 WIS |
| Feb 9, 2023 | WIS 79 – 74 PSU |
| Jan 18, 2023 | WIS 63 – 60 PSU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | WIS 51 – 49 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-8 | 15-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#112) | 12.2 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#143) | 2.63 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#150) | 3.16 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#143) | 0.595 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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