Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | PSU -200 WIS +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +5 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | PSU -5.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.8 (+24.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -5.0 (-10.0) | 130.2 (+22.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -5.0 (-10.0) | 131.2 (+21.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -5.4 (-10.4) | 131.5 (+21.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -5.2 (-10.2) | 132.0 (+21.0) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | WIS 98 – 71 PSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PSU 86 – 75 WIS |
| Jan 17, 2024 | PSU 87 – 83 WIS |
| Jan 18, 2023 | WIS 63 – 60 PSU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | WIS 51 – 49 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 63.6 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#57) | 7.3 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#57) | 1.70 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#50) | 2.07 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#85) | 0.559 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 5.7 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.71 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 13.0% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 17.4% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 13.7% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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