Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -188 PSU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +3 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -1.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -2.0 (+1.0) | 132.6 (-9.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -3.1 (-0.1) | 129.4 (-6.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -1.8 (+1.2) | 131.5 (-8.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -1.7 (+1.3) | 133.8 (-10.8) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | WIS 98 – 71 PSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PSU 86 – 75 WIS |
| Jan 17, 2024 | PSU 87 – 83 WIS |
| Feb 9, 2023 | WIS 79 – 74 PSU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | WIS 51 – 49 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#79) | 9.4 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#33) | 1.80 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#42) | 2.48 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#41) | 0.574 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 6.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 12.8% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 18.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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