Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -900 PSU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +11 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -10.8 (-21.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -11.3 (-22.3) | 153.3 (+7.7) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -11.5 (-22.5) | 154.4 (+6.6) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -10.5 (-21.5) | 153.9 (+7.1) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -10.5 (-21.5) | 153.3 (+7.7) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | WIS 98 – 71 PSU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | PSU 87 – 83 WIS |
| Feb 9, 2023 | WIS 79 – 74 PSU |
| Jan 18, 2023 | WIS 63 – 60 PSU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | WIS 51 – 49 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 18.0 (#16) | 10.4 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.98 (#15) | 1.02 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.99 (#12) | 1.78 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#18) | 0.514 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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