Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
The Dedmon Center · February 5, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread RAD -2.0 Away covered
O/U 120.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total RAD win
Actual PRES +8 148 Lost
Massey RAD -1.8 (-9.8) — —
Massey Totals — 120.3 (+27.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 40% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 42% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ PRES -0.1 (-7.9) 128.0 (+20.0) 43% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RAD -1.2 (-9.2) 128.1 (+19.9) 52% ✗
Baseline ML RAD -0.6 (-8.6) 129.5 (+18.5) 54% ✗
Baseline Plus ML RAD -0.1 (-8.1) 127.1 (+20.9) 47% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 PRES 91 – 85 RAD
Jan 31, 2026 RAD 93 – 84 PRES
Jan 8, 2026 RAD 80 – 61 PRES
Mar 7, 2025 RAD 74 – 69 PRES
Feb 22, 2025 PRES 80 – 73 RAD

Game Analysis

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