Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +15 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | WAG -13.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -11.1 (+3.9) | 145.2 (-2.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -11.6 (+3.4) | 145.7 (-2.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -12.4 (+2.6) | 145.0 (-2.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -11.9 (+3.1) | 145.6 (-2.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | LIU 64 – 56 WAG |
| Feb 17, 2026 | LIU 83 – 65 WAG |
| Feb 13, 2026 | LIU 67 – 57 WAG |
| Feb 28, 2025 | LIU 60 – 47 WAG |
| Feb 7, 2025 | LIU 60 – 47 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAG | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-6 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-1 | 12-1 |
| Away | 10-5 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#105) | -5.2 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#44) | -1.48 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#53) | -1.60 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#88) | 0.462 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAG | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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