Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | WAG +235 LIU -290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +10 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | LIU -5.2 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -6.0 (-4.0) | 140.0 (-16.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -4.3 (-5.7) | 139.6 (-15.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -5.2 (-4.8) | 140.0 (-16.0) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -5.1 (-4.9) | 140.5 (-16.5) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | LIU 64 – 56 WAG |
| Feb 17, 2026 | LIU 83 – 65 WAG |
| Feb 28, 2025 | LIU 60 – 47 WAG |
| Feb 7, 2025 | LIU 60 – 47 WAG |
| Feb 25, 2024 | WAG 72 – 57 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAG | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-12 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#312) | -2.2 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#350) | 0.07 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.29 (#350) | -0.06 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#354) | 0.513 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAG | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.6% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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