Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | LIU -325 WAG +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +8 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -8.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-26.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -8.1 (-0.1) | 140.3 (-20.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -8.4 (-0.4) | 139.8 (-19.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -8.1 (-0.1) | 140.0 (-20.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -7.4 (+0.6) | 141.8 (-21.8) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | LIU 83 – 65 WAG |
| Feb 13, 2026 | LIU 67 – 57 WAG |
| Feb 28, 2025 | LIU 60 – 47 WAG |
| Feb 7, 2025 | LIU 60 – 47 WAG |
| Feb 25, 2024 | WAG 72 – 57 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 10-9 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#212) | -8.9 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#177) | -1.74 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#187) | -2.23 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#129) | 0.449 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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