Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +2 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | LONG -15.2 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -11.3 (+9.3) | 141.2 (-5.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -11.5 (+9.5) | 142.1 (-6.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -11.0 (+9.0) | 142.5 (-6.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -10.8 (+8.8) | 141.3 (-5.3) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LONG 107 – 96 CHSO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | LONG 81 – 79 CHSO |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CHSO 89 – 85 LONG |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LONG 83 – 78 CHSO |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CHSO 83 – 77 LONG |
Game Analysis
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