They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
Big South Conference · Buccaneer Fieldhouse · February 3, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread LONG -6.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money CHSO +230 / LONG -225
Model Predictions
Spread Total CHSO win
Actual CHSO +6 160 Won
Massey LONG -6.3 (+12.3)
Massey Totals 134.9 (+25.1)
Bradley-Terry 38%
Weighted B-T 31%
Efficiency Plus ML LONG -7.7 (+13.7) 138.9 (+21.1) 24%
Baseline Tuned ML LONG -4.2 (+10.2) 137.6 (+22.4) 33%
Baseline ML LONG -4.9 (+10.9) 136.6 (+23.4) 34%
Baseline Plus ML LONG -5.7 (+11.7) 138.9 (+21.1) 30%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 LONG 10796 CHSO
Jan 24, 2026 LONG 8179 CHSO
Feb 1, 2025 CHSO 8985 LONG
Jan 5, 2025 LONG 8378 CHSO
Jan 6, 2024 LONG 7756 CHSO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CHSO LONG
Overall 10-20 21-14
Conference 6-10 6-10
Home 7-7 13-3
Away 3-12 5-10
Neutral 0-1 3-1
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 64.0 72.9
Avg Pts Against 74.5 70.2
Massey -10.1 (#321) -0.3 (#171)
Bradley-Terry -1.66 (#320) -0.51 (#228)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.19 (#322) -0.69 (#232)
RPI 0.436 (#295) 0.477 (#215)
Shooting & Four Factors CHSO LONG
FG% 40.7% 43.8%
3PT% 32.4% 30.8%
REB / G 32.2 37.4
OREB / G 8.9 13.2
AST / TO 0.73 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.3% 48.0%
TOV% 18.3% 18.2%
ORB% 25.9% 37.4%
FT Rate 26.3% 26.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.8% 50.0%
Opp TOV% 13.6% 19.7%
DRB% 69.1% 74.7%
Opp FT Rate 24.2% 23.4%

Game Analysis

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