Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | CHSO +230 LONG -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +6 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -6.3 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+25.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -5.7 (+11.7) | 138.9 (+21.1) | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -7.7 (+13.7) | 138.9 (+21.1) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -4.2 (+10.2) | 137.6 (+22.4) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -4.9 (+10.9) | 136.6 (+23.4) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LONG 107 – 96 CHSO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | LONG 81 – 79 CHSO |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CHSO 89 – 85 LONG |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LONG 83 – 78 CHSO |
| Jan 6, 2024 | LONG 77 – 56 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 6-10 |
| Home | 7-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -10.1 (#321) | -0.3 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#320) | -0.51 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#322) | -0.69 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#295) | 0.477 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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