Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | LONG -1400 CHSO +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +21 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -21.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -15.7 (+5.3) | 137.0 (-4.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -15.4 (+5.6) | 136.7 (-3.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -14.5 (+6.5) | 135.4 (-2.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -15.0 (+6.0) | 135.2 (-2.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LONG 107 – 96 CHSO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | LONG 81 – 79 CHSO |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CHSO 89 – 85 LONG |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LONG 83 – 78 CHSO |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CHSO 83 – 77 LONG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LONG | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 6-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#120) | -13.5 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#127) | -3.39 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#152) | -4.74 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#156) | 0.384 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LONG | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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