Betting Lines
| Spread | CHSO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | CHSO -148 LONG +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +11 | 203 | Lost |
| Massey | CHSO -5.1 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (+44.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHSO -3.3 (-14.3) | 151.6 (+51.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CHSO -3.6 (-14.6) | 152.6 (+50.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHSO -4.0 (-15.0) | 150.9 (+52.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CHSO -3.7 (-14.7) | 152.5 (+50.5) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | LONG 81 – 79 CHSO |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CHSO 89 – 85 LONG |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LONG 83 – 78 CHSO |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CHSO 83 – 77 LONG |
| Jan 6, 2024 | LONG 77 – 56 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-11 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#239) | -6.9 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#298) | -1.55 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#287) | -1.87 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#300) | 0.421 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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