Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | CHSO +160 LONG -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +4 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -3.6 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -3.9 (+7.9) | 147.0 (+27.0) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -3.8 (+7.8) | 147.7 (+26.3) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -3.0 (+7.0) | 145.5 (+28.5) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -3.3 (+7.3) | 147.0 (+27.0) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LONG 107 – 96 CHSO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | LONG 81 – 79 CHSO |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LONG 83 – 78 CHSO |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CHSO 83 – 77 LONG |
| Jan 6, 2024 | LONG 77 – 56 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-14 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#286) | -0.9 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#296) | 0.33 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#289) | 0.24 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#294) | 0.514 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 32.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.