Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | LONG -450 CHSO +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +5 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -9.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -7.6 (-2.6) | 145.7 (+15.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -8.0 (-3.0) | 145.9 (+15.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -7.2 (-2.2) | 144.6 (+16.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -7.1 (-2.1) | 144.9 (+16.1) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LONG 107 – 96 CHSO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | LONG 81 – 79 CHSO |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CHSO 89 – 85 LONG |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CHSO 83 – 77 LONG |
| Jan 6, 2024 | LONG 77 – 56 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LONG | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 6-10 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#181) | -6.5 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#182) | -1.36 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#184) | -1.74 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#220) | 0.441 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LONG | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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