Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +15 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | BRWN -5.3 (-20.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -2.7 (-17.7) | 140.6 (-25.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -4.4 (-19.4) | 143.4 (-28.4) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -4.5 (-19.5) | 143.9 (-28.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -3.8 (-18.8) | 144.8 (-29.8) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | HARV 56 – 53 BRWN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HARV 69 – 59 BRWN |
| Feb 28, 2025 | BRWN 59 – 52 HARV |
| Jan 18, 2025 | HARV 80 – 67 BRWN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BRWN 71 – 68 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 13-13 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 5-9 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#172) | -2.4 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#226) | -0.76 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#212) | -0.94 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#207) | 0.452 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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