Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | BRWN -138 HARV +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +3 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | BRWN -2.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -1.3 (+1.7) | 141.2 (-2.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -0.8 (+2.2) | 138.7 (+0.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -0.3 (+2.7) | 138.8 (+0.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -0.4 (+2.6) | 140.2 (-1.2) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | HARV 56 – 53 BRWN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HARV 69 – 59 BRWN |
| Feb 28, 2025 | BRWN 59 – 52 HARV |
| Jan 18, 2025 | HARV 80 – 67 BRWN |
| Jan 15, 2024 | BRWN 74 – 72 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 5-9 |
| Home | 5-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#228) | -2.3 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#260) | 0.32 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#254) | 0.35 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#254) | 0.509 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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