Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | HARV -154 BRWN +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +2 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | HARV -7.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -6.2 (-8.2) | 141.4 (+4.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -4.4 (-6.4) | 141.3 (+4.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -5.5 (-7.5) | 141.8 (+4.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -6.1 (-8.1) | 140.0 (+6.0) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | HARV 56 – 53 BRWN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HARV 69 – 59 BRWN |
| Feb 28, 2025 | BRWN 59 – 52 HARV |
| Jan 18, 2025 | HARV 80 – 67 BRWN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BRWN 71 – 68 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 8-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 5-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#202) | -5.6 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#111) | -1.99 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#132) | -1.92 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#104) | 0.395 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.