Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | HARV -395 BRWN +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +3 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | HARV -10.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (-21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -9.5 (-6.5) | 132.8 (-23.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -7.2 (-4.2) | 131.7 (-22.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -7.9 (-4.9) | 130.7 (-21.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -8.3 (-5.3) | 129.9 (-20.9) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | HARV 69 – 59 BRWN |
| Feb 28, 2025 | BRWN 59 – 52 HARV |
| Jan 18, 2025 | HARV 80 – 67 BRWN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BRWN 71 – 68 HARV |
| Jan 15, 2024 | BRWN 74 – 72 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 9-18 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 3-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 9-6 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#165) | -7.5 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#196) | -1.92 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#199) | -2.34 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#167) | 0.408 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.