Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | BRWN -195 HARV +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +13 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | BRWN -7.0 (-20.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -3.3 (-16.3) | 137.4 (+9.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -4.8 (-17.8) | 138.5 (+8.5) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -3.4 (-16.4) | 137.8 (+9.2) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -3.6 (-16.6) | 138.2 (+8.8) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | HARV 56 – 53 BRWN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HARV 69 – 59 BRWN |
| Feb 28, 2025 | BRWN 59 – 52 HARV |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BRWN 71 – 68 HARV |
| Jan 15, 2024 | BRWN 74 – 72 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 7-7 |
| Home | 8-6 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#208) | -6.0 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#186) | -1.08 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#189) | -1.31 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#184) | 0.454 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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