Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | BRWN +105 HARV -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +10 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | HARV -2.1 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -2.1 (-7.9) | 134.2 (-6.2) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -2.7 (-7.3) | 135.0 (-7.0) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -2.5 (-7.5) | 134.2 (-6.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -2.0 (-8.0) | 134.1 (-6.1) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | HARV 56 – 53 BRWN |
| Feb 28, 2025 | BRWN 59 – 52 HARV |
| Jan 18, 2025 | HARV 80 – 67 BRWN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BRWN 71 – 68 HARV |
| Jan 15, 2024 | BRWN 74 – 72 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-18 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 10-4 |
| Home | 6-8 | 8-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 67.3 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#270) | -1.5 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#310) | -0.64 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#310) | -0.81 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#317) | 0.476 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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