Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +8 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -12.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -10.5 (+2.5) | 146.3 (-14.3) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -11.5 (+3.5) | 145.4 (-13.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -10.4 (+2.4) | 145.7 (-13.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -10.9 (+2.9) | 146.8 (-14.8) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | IONA 69 – 63 CAN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | IONA 74 – 48 CAN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | IONA 82 – 52 CAN |
| Jan 17, 2025 | IONA 82 – 61 CAN |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CAN 73 – 69 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 17-3 |
| Home | 9-5 | 13-0 |
| Away | 1-15 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#291) | 8.4 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#268) | 2.54 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#292) | 3.01 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#275) | 0.633 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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