Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | IONA -900 CAN +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +21 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -11.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -7.8 (+13.2) | 138.8 (+4.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -9.1 (+11.9) | 140.3 (+2.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -8.7 (+12.3) | 139.3 (+3.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -8.9 (+12.1) | 139.3 (+3.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | IONA 69 – 63 CAN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | IONA 74 – 48 CAN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | IONA 82 – 52 CAN |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CAN 73 – 69 IONA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | IONA 70 – 58 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-17 |
| Home | 7-7 | 1-12 |
| Away | 7-7 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#300) | -15.4 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#290) | -3.22 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#297) | -3.78 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#292) | 0.374 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 26.3 |
| OREB / G | 16.4 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 23.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 41.3% | 19.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.0% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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