Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | CAN +170 IONA -205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +6 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -6.7 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -7.0 (+1.0) | 136.3 (-4.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -6.1 (+0.1) | 133.6 (-1.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -6.4 (+0.4) | 134.7 (-2.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -6.7 (+0.7) | 135.0 (-3.0) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | IONA 74 – 48 CAN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | IONA 82 – 52 CAN |
| Jan 17, 2025 | IONA 82 – 61 CAN |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CAN 73 – 69 IONA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | IONA 70 – 58 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.2 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -14.5 (#348) | -4.9 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#325) | -0.41 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#326) | -0.58 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#312) | 0.495 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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