Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CAN +215 IONA -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +30 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -4.7 (-25.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -5.6 (-24.4) | 137.7 (-3.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -4.3 (-25.7) | 139.8 (-5.8) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -4.4 (-25.6) | 141.8 (-7.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -4.6 (-25.4) | 138.4 (-4.4) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | IONA 69 – 63 CAN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | IONA 74 – 48 CAN |
| Jan 17, 2025 | IONA 82 – 61 CAN |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CAN 73 – 69 IONA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | IONA 70 – 58 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-28 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 12-8 |
| Home | 1-12 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-15 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -14.9 (#355) | -6.9 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.75 (#352) | -0.86 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.13 (#351) | -1.28 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#331) | 0.465 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 25.6 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 5.6 | 14.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 18.1% | 38.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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