Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -350 CAN +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +12 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -5.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -4.8 (+7.2) | 144.9 (-16.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -5.7 (+6.3) | 144.1 (-16.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -4.5 (+7.5) | 142.7 (-14.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -4.6 (+7.4) | 143.1 (-15.1) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | IONA 69 – 63 CAN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | IONA 74 – 48 CAN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | IONA 82 – 52 CAN |
| Jan 17, 2025 | IONA 82 – 61 CAN |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CAN 73 – 69 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#184) | -2.1 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#243) | -0.42 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#207) | -0.51 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#229) | 0.491 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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