Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +9 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -7.8 (+16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.1 (+15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -5.2 (+14.2) | 132.2 (+8.8) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -5.0 (+14.0) | 132.3 (+8.7) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -5.6 (+14.6) | 132.6 (+8.4) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -3.5 (+12.5) | 132.9 (+8.1) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | VAN 84 – 73 LSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | VAN 80 – 72 LSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LSU 75 – 61 VAN |
| Jan 10, 2024 | LSU 77 – 69 VAN |
| Mar 10, 2023 | VAN 77 – 68 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-8 | 15-2 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 63.4 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#84) | 17.7 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#99) | 2.58 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#114) | 3.25 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#107) | 0.629 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 25.6% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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