Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +21 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | MSU -6.6 (+27.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSU -2.5 (+23.5) | 130.5 (+16.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSU -5.3 (+26.3) | 132.5 (+14.5) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MSU -5.2 (+26.2) | 131.3 (+15.7) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSU -3.8 (+24.8) | 131.9 (+15.1) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MSU 91 – 87 RUTG |
| Jan 27, 2026 | MSU 88 – 79 RUTG |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MSU 81 – 74 RUTG |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MSU 73 – 55 RUTG |
| Feb 4, 2023 | RUTG 61 – 55 MSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#112) | 14.0 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#115) | 3.27 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#93) | 4.19 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#165) | 0.641 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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