Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG -213 MSU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +6 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -9.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -8.3 (-2.3) | 133.1 (-17.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -6.6 (-0.6) | 130.1 (-14.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -7.1 (-1.1) | 131.4 (-15.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -7.6 (-1.6) | 132.8 (-16.8) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MSU 91 – 87 RUTG |
| Jan 27, 2026 | MSU 88 – 79 RUTG |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MSU 81 – 74 RUTG |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MSU 73 – 55 RUTG |
| Jan 19, 2023 | MSU 70 – 57 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-8 |
| Home | 14-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#11) | 9.5 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#52) | 2.11 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#49) | 2.53 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#60) | 0.591 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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