Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG +850 MSU -1450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSU +9 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | MSU -18.4 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (+30.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSU -15.1 (+6.1) | 133.6 (+33.4) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSU -14.9 (+5.9) | 136.0 (+31.0) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSU -14.0 (+5.0) | 132.7 (+34.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSU -16.5 (+7.5) | 136.0 (+31.0) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MSU 91 – 87 RUTG |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MSU 81 – 74 RUTG |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MSU 73 – 55 RUTG |
| Feb 4, 2023 | RUTG 61 – 55 MSU |
| Jan 19, 2023 | MSU 70 – 57 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 15-5 |
| Home | 10-7 | 15-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#163) | 21.7 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#136) | 4.30 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#148) | 5.85 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#181) | 0.661 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 39.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 78.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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