Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG +270 MSU -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSU +7 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | MSU -7.1 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSU -5.5 (-1.5) | 147.2 (+7.8) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSU -5.7 (-1.3) | 148.0 (+7.0) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSU -5.3 (-1.7) | 146.9 (+8.1) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSU -4.8 (-2.2) | 149.7 (+5.3) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MSU 91 – 87 RUTG |
| Jan 27, 2026 | MSU 88 – 79 RUTG |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MSU 73 – 55 RUTG |
| Feb 4, 2023 | RUTG 61 – 55 MSU |
| Jan 19, 2023 | MSU 70 – 57 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 30-7 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 17-3 |
| Home | 11-5 | 15-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 7-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#81) | 17.6 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#77) | 3.51 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#73) | 4.42 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#78) | 0.640 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 31.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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