Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | MSU -154 RUTG +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSU +13 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -2.6 (+15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSU -0.0 (+13.0) | 128.7 (-1.7) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -0.5 (+13.5) | 127.8 (-0.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -0.2 (+13.2) | 127.7 (-0.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MSU -0.1 (+12.9) | 128.2 (-1.2) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MSU 91 – 87 RUTG |
| Jan 27, 2026 | MSU 88 – 79 RUTG |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MSU 81 – 74 RUTG |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MSU 73 – 55 RUTG |
| Feb 4, 2023 | RUTG 61 – 55 MSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 11-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 14-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 61.1 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#61) | 15.1 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#36) | 1.80 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.52 (#39) | 2.25 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#32) | 0.583 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 43.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.